08-09 Playoff Projection

PLAYOFFS

EAST

	Round 1			Round 2			Round 3
1	CLE	4-0	1	CLE	4-1	1	CLE	4-2
8	DET		4	ATL		2	BOS
5	MIA
4	ATL	4-3
2	BOS	4-1	2	BOS	4-3
7	CHI		3	ORL
3	ORL	4-0
6	PHI

WEST

	Round 1			Round 2			Round 3
1	LAL	4-1	1	LAL	4-2	1	LAL	4-1
8	UTA		5	HOU		2	DEN
5	HOU	4-3
4	POR
2	DEN	4-1	2	DEN	4-3
7	NO		3	SAS
3	SAS	4-1
6	DAL

FINALS

1	CLE
1	LAL	4-3

Winner: Los Angeles Lakers

End-of-regular-season Wrap up

When I said to be careful yesterday, I meant to say that it would be the best day of the season. 8-3 (72.7%) ATS, wow.

Here are the basic monthly numbers, I'll add some more numbers and pictures later.

NOVEMBER	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	136	173	78.6%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	23	31	74.2%
*****	63	96	65.6%
DECEMBER	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	132	169	78.1%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	5	11	45.5%
*****	57	83	68.7%
JANUARY	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	135	198	68.2%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	6	16	37.5%
*****	46	95	48.4%
FEBRUARY	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	109	152	71.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	4	13	30.8%
*****	38	71	53.5%
MARCH	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	91	120	75.8%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	4	10	40.0%
*****	31	65	47.7%
APRIL	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	41	54	75.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	33	52	63.5%

4/15 Picks

Sadly, this is the last day of the regular season. There are a ton of 5-star games today; that's in no small part due to the number of teams that have clinched playoff spots. Those teams are:

East: CLE, BOS, ORL, ATL, MIA, CHI, PHI, DET
West: LAL, DEN, HOU, POR, SAS, NO, DAL, UTA

So, be careful with those games.

I'll continue to make picks through the post season, so be sure to check back.

It looks like we're ending the season with a bang. Performance has really picked up in April. This month, NBA Black Box is:

APRIL	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	41	54	75.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	33	52	63.5%

Hopefully, we'll have another great night tonight.

ATL at MEM -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ATL +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at ORL -3
Winner:	ORL
Spread:	ORL -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DET at MIA -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
HOU at DAL -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
MIL at IND -8
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIL +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at NYK -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NJ +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at SAS -9
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +9 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHI -1.5 at CLE
Winner:	CLE
Spread:	CLE +1.5 *****
Underdog:	CLE
SAC at MIN -7.5
Winner:	MIN
Spread:	SAC +7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at CHI -10
Winner:	CHI
Spread:	TOR +10 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at BOS -4.5
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DEN at POR -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
GS at PHX -10
Winner:	PHX
Spread:	PHX -10 *****
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at LAC -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	OKC +1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	6	50.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	8	11	72.7%

4/14 Picks

MIA at ATL -8.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIA +8.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
BOS at PHI -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	BOS +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at LAL -6.5
Winner:	LAL
Spread:	LAL -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

I love perfect days...

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	1	1	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	3	3	100.0%

4/13 Picks

CLE -4 at IND
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at WAS -2.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	TOR +2.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at NJ -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHA +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHI at DET -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHI +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ORL at MIL -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ORL +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at DAL -11.5
Winner:	DAL
Underdog:	N/A
NO at HOU -8
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
LAC at UTA -12.5
Winner:	UTA
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at DEN -17
Winner:	DEN
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at PHX -8
Winner:	PHX
Spread:	PHX -8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at POR -12.5
Winner:	POR
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -4 at GS
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAS -4 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	5	5	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	4	6	66.7%

4/12 Picks

DAL at NO -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
BOS at CLE -8
Winner:	CLE
Spread:	BOS +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NYK at MIA -6.5
Winner:	MIA
Spread:	MIA -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHI -1.5 at TOR
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -10.5 at SAC
Winner:	SAS
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at LAL -12
Winner:	LAL
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	4	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	1	2	50.0%

4/11 Picks

DET at IND -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
ORL -6.5 at NJ
Winner:	ORL
Underdog:	N/A
PHX -2.5 at MIN
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at CHI -9.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHA +9.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at MIL -6.5
Winner:	MIL
Spread:	MIL -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
GS at UTA -14.5
Winner:	UTA
Underdog:	N/A
POR -7 at LAC
Winner:	POR
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	4	50.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	2	100.0%

4/10 Picks

Certainly no shortage of games tonight...

CLE -7 at PHI
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
IND at ATL -5.5
Winner:	ATL
Spread:	ATL -5.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIA at BOS -6
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA -3 at OKC
Winner:	CHA
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at DET -7.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NJ +7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NYK at ORL -11
Winner:	ORL
Underdog:	N/A
PHX -2.5 at MEM
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at TOR -6.5
Winner:	TOR
Spread:	TOR -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at DAL -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at SAS -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
LAL at POR -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
HOU -9 at GS
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at LAC -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAC +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	5	40.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	6	33.3%

4/9 Picks

PHI at CHI -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	PHI +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
HOU -11 at SAC
Winner:	HOU
Underdog:	N/A
DEN at LAL -8.5
Winner:	LAL
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	2	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	0	1	0.0%

4/8 Picks

MEM at ORL -14.5
Winner:	ORL
Underdog:	N/A
POR at SAS -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at IND -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	TOR +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at CLE -16
Winner:	CLE
Underdog:	N/A
DET -3.5 at NYK
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at BOS -10.5
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -10.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ATL -1 at MIL
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
PHX at NO -2.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at DEN -13
Winner:	DEN
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at DAL -3
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at GS -6
Winner:	GS
Spread:	MIN +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	5	80.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	1	3	33.3%

4/7 Picks

Finally back, after too long. This year's tourney didn't go quite as I had hoped, but there's always next year.

ATL -1.5 at TOR
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
PHI at CHA -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	PHI +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at MIA -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
POR -7 at MEM
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -5.5 at OKC
Winner:	SAS
Underdog:	N/A
NYK at CHI -8
Winner:	CHI
Spread:	NYK +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ORL -1 at HOU
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
LAL -11.5 at SAC
Winner:	LAL
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at LAC -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIN +2 *****
Underdog:	N/A

What a great day to come back.

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	3	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	4	4	100.0%