11/6 Picks

We're still only ***one week*** into the season, try not to rely too heavily on these picks.

ATL -2 at CHA
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHA +2
SU Underdog:	---
DET at ORL -13
Winner:	ORL
Spread:	DET +13
SU Underdog:	---
NJ at PHI -12.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NJ +12.5
SU Underdog:	---
WAS at IND -1
Winner:	WAS
Spread:	WAS +1 *****
SU Underdog:	WAS
DEN at MIA
Winner:	MIA
Spread:	MIA *****
SU Underdog:	---
PHX at BOS -10.5
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -10.5 *****
SU Underdog:	---
CLE -8 at NYK
Winner:	CLE
Spread:	NYK +8
SU Underdog:	---
MIL at MIN -2.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIL +2.5 *****
SU Underdog:	---
TOR at NO -5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	TOR +5 *****
SU Underdog:	---
OKC at HOU -6.5
Winner:	HOU
Spread:	OKC +6.5
SU Underdog:	---
LAC at GS -4.5
Winner:	GS
Spread:	GS -4.5 *****
SU Underdog:	---
MEM at LAL -10
Winner:	LAL
Spread:	MEM +10
SU Underdog:	---
SAS at POR -4
Winner:	POR
Spread:	POR -4 *****
SU Underdog:	---

6-Nov	Correct	Games	Win%
Straight up	6	9	66.7%
SU Underdog	0	1	0.0%
***** ATS	4	7	57.1%
Non-***** ATS	3	6	50.0%
Overall ATS	7	13	53.8%

11/5 Picks

This seems like a good time to say that since these picks are based on stats from this season, they will almost definitely get better as the season progresses and more stats become available.

CHI at CLE -11.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHI +11.5 *****
SU Underdog:	---
SAS -1.5 at UTA
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	UTA +1.5
SU Underdog:	---

5-Nov	Correct	Games	Win%
Straight up	0	0	---
SU Underdog	0	0	---
***** ATS	1	1	100.0%
Non-***** ATS	1	1	100.0%
Overall ATS	2	2	100.0%

11/4 Picks

DET at TOR -8
Winner:	DET
Spread:	DET +8 *****
SU Underdog:	DET
MIA at WAS -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	WAS -2
SU Underdog:	---
PHX at ORL -8
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ORL -8
SU Underdog:	---
DEN -9 at NJ
Winner:	DEN
Spread:	NJ +9
SU Underdog:	---
IND at NYK -5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NYK -5
SU Underdog:	---
BOS -13 at MIN
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -13 *****
SU Underdog:	---
LAL -2 at HOU
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	HOU +2
SU Underdog:	---
DAL at NO -4.5
Winner:	DAL
Spread:	DAL +4.5 *****
SU Underdog:	DAL
ATL -5.5 at SAC
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAC +5.5
SU Underdog:	---
MEM at GS -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MEM +6
SU Underdog:	---

4-Nov	Correct	Games	Win%
Straight up	2	4	50.0%
SU Underdog	0	2	0.0%
***** ATS	0	3	0.0%
Non-***** ATS	2	7	28.6%
Overall ATS	2	10	20.0%

11/3 Picks

Off to a great start: 4-1 (80%) ATS, 2-0 (100%) *****. Let's hope it stays that way!

Remember, when a pick has '*****' next to it, it's a high probability ATS pick. They're less frequent but more accurate.

BOS -7 at PHI
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DEN -5.5 at IND
Winner:	DEN
Spread:	IND +5.5
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at CLE -11.5
Winner:	CLE
Spread:	CLE -11.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ORL -6.5 at DET
Winner:	ORL
Spread:	ORL -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHX at MIA -4
Winner:	MIA
Spread:	MIA -4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
LAL -7.5 at OKC
Winner:	LAL
Spread:	OKC +7.5
Underdog:	N/A
MIL at CHI -9
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIL +9
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at DAL -6
Winner:	DAL
Spread:	DAL -6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ATL at POR -7
Winner:	POR
Spread:	ATL +7
Underdog:	N/A

3-Nov	Correct	Games	Win%
Straight up	5	8	62.5%
SU Underdog	0	0	---
***** ATS	3	5	60.0%
Non-***** ATS	3	4	75.0%
Overall ATS	6	9	66.7%

11/2 Picks (First picks of the season!!!)

NJ at CHA -7
Winner:	CHA
Spread:	CHA -7 *****
Underdog Win:	N/A
NO -2.5 at NYK
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NYK +2.5
Underdog:	N/A
HOU at UTA -7.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	UTA -7.5
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at SAC -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAC -1
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at LAC -8
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIN +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A

2-Nov	Correct	Games	Win%
Straight up	1	1	100.0%
SU Underdog	0	0	---
ATS	4	5	80.0%
*****	2	2	100.0%

09-10 Season

The new season starts in a few short weeks. Check back in November for some awesome predictions and power rankings.

Until then, head over to NFL Sim Capper for all your NFL needs (picks, stats, fantasy)

08-09 Playoff Projection

PLAYOFFS

EAST

	Round 1			Round 2			Round 3
1	CLE	4-0	1	CLE	4-1	1	CLE	4-2
8	DET		4	ATL		2	BOS
5	MIA
4	ATL	4-3
2	BOS	4-1	2	BOS	4-3
7	CHI		3	ORL
3	ORL	4-0
6	PHI

WEST

	Round 1			Round 2			Round 3
1	LAL	4-1	1	LAL	4-2	1	LAL	4-1
8	UTA		5	HOU		2	DEN
5	HOU	4-3
4	POR
2	DEN	4-1	2	DEN	4-3
7	NO		3	SAS
3	SAS	4-1
6	DAL

FINALS

1	CLE
1	LAL	4-3

Winner: Los Angeles Lakers

End-of-regular-season Wrap up

When I said to be careful yesterday, I meant to say that it would be the best day of the season. 8-3 (72.7%) ATS, wow.

Here are the basic monthly numbers, I'll add some more numbers and pictures later.

NOVEMBER	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	136	173	78.6%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	23	31	74.2%
*****	63	96	65.6%
DECEMBER	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	132	169	78.1%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	5	11	45.5%
*****	57	83	68.7%
JANUARY	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	135	198	68.2%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	6	16	37.5%
*****	46	95	48.4%
FEBRUARY	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	109	152	71.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	4	13	30.8%
*****	38	71	53.5%
MARCH	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	91	120	75.8%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	4	10	40.0%
*****	31	65	47.7%
APRIL	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	41	54	75.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	33	52	63.5%

4/15 Picks

Sadly, this is the last day of the regular season. There are a ton of 5-star games today; that's in no small part due to the number of teams that have clinched playoff spots. Those teams are:

East: CLE, BOS, ORL, ATL, MIA, CHI, PHI, DET
West: LAL, DEN, HOU, POR, SAS, NO, DAL, UTA

So, be careful with those games.

I'll continue to make picks through the post season, so be sure to check back.

It looks like we're ending the season with a bang. Performance has really picked up in April. This month, NBA Black Box is:

APRIL	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	41	54	75.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	33	52	63.5%

Hopefully, we'll have another great night tonight.

ATL at MEM -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ATL +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at ORL -3
Winner:	ORL
Spread:	ORL -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DET at MIA -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
HOU at DAL -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
MIL at IND -8
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIL +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at NYK -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NJ +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at SAS -9
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +9 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHI -1.5 at CLE
Winner:	CLE
Spread:	CLE +1.5 *****
Underdog:	CLE
SAC at MIN -7.5
Winner:	MIN
Spread:	SAC +7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at CHI -10
Winner:	CHI
Spread:	TOR +10 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at BOS -4.5
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DEN at POR -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
GS at PHX -10
Winner:	PHX
Spread:	PHX -10 *****
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at LAC -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	OKC +1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	6	50.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	8	11	72.7%

4/14 Picks

MIA at ATL -8.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIA +8.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
BOS at PHI -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	BOS +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at LAL -6.5
Winner:	LAL
Spread:	LAL -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

I love perfect days...

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	1	1	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	3	3	100.0%

4/13 Picks

CLE -4 at IND
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at WAS -2.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	TOR +2.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at NJ -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHA +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHI at DET -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHI +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ORL at MIL -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ORL +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at DAL -11.5
Winner:	DAL
Underdog:	N/A
NO at HOU -8
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
LAC at UTA -12.5
Winner:	UTA
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at DEN -17
Winner:	DEN
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at PHX -8
Winner:	PHX
Spread:	PHX -8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at POR -12.5
Winner:	POR
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -4 at GS
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAS -4 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	5	5	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	4	6	66.7%

4/12 Picks

DAL at NO -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
BOS at CLE -8
Winner:	CLE
Spread:	BOS +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NYK at MIA -6.5
Winner:	MIA
Spread:	MIA -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHI -1.5 at TOR
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -10.5 at SAC
Winner:	SAS
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at LAL -12
Winner:	LAL
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	4	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	1	2	50.0%

4/11 Picks

DET at IND -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
ORL -6.5 at NJ
Winner:	ORL
Underdog:	N/A
PHX -2.5 at MIN
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at CHI -9.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHA +9.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at MIL -6.5
Winner:	MIL
Spread:	MIL -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
GS at UTA -14.5
Winner:	UTA
Underdog:	N/A
POR -7 at LAC
Winner:	POR
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	4	50.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	2	100.0%

4/10 Picks

Certainly no shortage of games tonight...

CLE -7 at PHI
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
IND at ATL -5.5
Winner:	ATL
Spread:	ATL -5.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIA at BOS -6
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA -3 at OKC
Winner:	CHA
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at DET -7.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NJ +7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NYK at ORL -11
Winner:	ORL
Underdog:	N/A
PHX -2.5 at MEM
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at TOR -6.5
Winner:	TOR
Spread:	TOR -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at DAL -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at SAS -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
LAL at POR -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
HOU -9 at GS
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at LAC -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAC +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	5	40.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	6	33.3%

4/9 Picks

PHI at CHI -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	PHI +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
HOU -11 at SAC
Winner:	HOU
Underdog:	N/A
DEN at LAL -8.5
Winner:	LAL
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	2	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	0	1	0.0%