NBA Sim Capper

Sunday, 8 February 2009

2/8 Picks

SAS at BOS -6.5
Winner:	Boston
Spread:	BOS -6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

LAL at CLE -4.5
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A

CHA at MIA -8
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	CHA +8 *****
Underdog:	N/A

IND -5 at WAS
Winner:	Indiana
Underdog:	N/A

NJ at ORL -11.5
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A

NYK at POR -8
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

MIN at NO -3
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	NO -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

SAC at OKC -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAC +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A

PHX at DET -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	PHX +1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

UTA -1.5 at GS
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	7	57.1%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	4	5	80.0%

Saturday, 7 February 2009

2/7 Picks

If DEN -2.5 becomes -3 or greater, no *****
If TOR becomes TOR -1.5 or greater, no *****
If MIL +4.5 becomes +4 or less, no *****

LAC at ATL -7.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A

MIA at PHI -3.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIA +3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

DEN -2.5 at NJ
Winner:	Denver
Spread:	DEN -2.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

TOR at MEM
Winner:	Toronto
Spread:	TOR *****
Underdog:	N/A

CHI at DAL -7
Winner:	Dallas
Underdog:	N/A

DET -4.5 at MIL
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MIL +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

MIN at HOU -8
Winner:	Houston
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	6	50.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	0	4	0.0%

Friday, 6 February 2009

2/6 Picks

ATL at CHA -1.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Spread:	ATL +1.5 *****
Underdog:	Atlanta

ORL -7 at IND
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A

BOS -6.5 at NYK
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

DEN -7.5 at WAS
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A

LAC at MEM -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	LAC +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

POR -6 at OKC
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

TOR at NO -3
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	NO -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

UTA -3 at SAC
Winner:	Utah
Spread:	UTA -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

GS at PHX -10
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	6	8	75.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	1	1	100.0%
*****	4	4	100.0%

Thursday, 5 February 2009

2/5 Picks

IND at PHI -5.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A

LAL at BOS -7
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

DAL at UTA -3
Winner:	Utah
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	3	66.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	0	0	---

Wednesday, 4 February 2009

2/4 Picks

LAC at ORL -13
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A

LAL -8 at TOR
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

NJ at WAS -2
Winner:	New Jersey
Spread:	NJ +2 *****
Underdog:	New Jersey

CLE -6 at NYK
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A

MIA at DET -4.5
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	MIA +4.5 *****
Underdog:	Miami

ATL at MIN -2
Winner:	Atlanta
Spread:	ATL +2 *****
Underdog:	Atlanta

CHI at NO -2.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	NO -2.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

DEN -2 at OKC
Winner:	Denver
Spread:	DEN -2 *****
Underdog:	N/A

HOU -6 at MEM
Winner:	Houston
Underdog:	N/A

POR at DAL -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	POR +4 *****
Underdog:	N/A

PHX -4.5 at GS
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	6	9	66.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	2	3	66.7%
*****	3	6	50.0%

Tuesday, 3 February 2009

2/3 Picks

BOS -4 at PHI
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

MIN at IND -4
Winner:	Indiana
Underdog:	N/A

TOR at CLE -11
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A

MIL at NJ -4.5
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL +4.5 *****
Underdog:	Milwaukee

CHI at HOU -7
Winner:	Houston
Underdog:	N/A

SAS at DEN -5.5
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	6	66.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	0	1	0.0%

Monday, 2 February 2009

2/2 Picks

2 days in a row with no stars.

DAL at ORL -7.5
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A

MEM at WAS -4.5
Winner:	Washington
Underdog:	N/A

LAC at MIA -9.5
Winner:	Miami
Underdog:	N/A

LAL -6 at NYK
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

POR at NO -3.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Underdog:	N/A

CHA at UTA -7
Winner:	Utah
Underdog:	N/A

SAC at PHX -14.5
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A

SAS -5.5 at GS
Winner:	San Antonio
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	5	8	62.5%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	0	0	---

Sunday, 1 February 2009

2/1 Picks

No stars today.

MIL at BOS -13.5
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

ORL -6.5 at TOR
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A

CLE -4 at DET
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A

OKC at SAC -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A

Saturday, 31 January 2009

1/31 Picks

If IND -4 becomes -5 or greater, no *****.
If WAS -4.5 becomes -3.5 or less, no *****.
If HOU -7.5 becomes -8.5 or greater, no *****.

NJ at PHI -7.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A

NYK at IND -4
Winner:	Indiana
Spread:	IND -4 *****
Underdog:	N/A

DAL -2 at MIA
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	MIA +2 *****
Underdog:	Miami

LAC at WAS -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	LAC +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

LAL -11 at MEM
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

ATL at MIL -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ATL +1 *****
Underdog:	N/A

GS at HOU -7.5
Winner:	Houston
Spread:	HOU -7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

NO at SAS -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A

CHI at PHX -9
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A

UTA at POR -9
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	7	42.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	1	6	16.7%

Friday, 30 January 2009

1/30 Picks

BOS -6.5 at DET
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

MIA at IND -3
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	MIA +3 *****
Underdog:	Miami

MIL at TOR -7.5
Winner:	Toronto
Spread:	MIL +7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

WAS at PHI -10.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A

LAC at CLE -15.5
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A

NJ at ATL -7.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A

LAL -7 at MIN
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

CHA at DEN -10
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A

OKC at UTA -10
Winner:	Utah
Underdog:	N/A

GS at NO -9.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Underdog:	N/A

CHI -1 at SAC
Winner:	Chicago
Spread:	CHI -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	8	11	72.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	2	3	66.7%

Thursday, 29 January 2009

Super Bowl XLII

The Super Bowl special is up on nflblackbox.blogspot.com
Check it out! More analysis will follow.

1/29 Picks

CLE at ORL -4.5
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE +4.5 *****
Underdog:	Cleveland

SAS at PHX -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAS +1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

Nice job, Cleveland, starting the 4th quarter with a 2-20 run.

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	0	1	0.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	1	2	50.0%

Wednesday, 28 January 2009

1/28 Picks

MIL at IND -6.5
Winner:	Indiana
Spread:	MIL +6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

ATL at NYK -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ATL +1 *****
Underdog:	N/A

SAC at BOS -17
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

TOR -2 at NJ
Winner:	Toronto
Spread:	TOR -2 *****
Underdog:	N/A

WAS at MIA -8.5
Winner:	Miami
Underdog:	N/A

DEN at NO -3.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	DEN +3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

DET -1 at MIN
Winner:	Detroit
Spread:	DET -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A

MEM at OKC -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MEM +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A

PHI at HOU -5.5
Winner:	Houston
Underdog:	N/A

GS at DAL -7
Winner:	Dallas
Spread:	DAL -7 *****
Underdog:	N/A

CHA at POR -12
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

CHI -3 at LAC
Winner:	Chicago
Spread:	CHI -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	8	10	80.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	3	8	37.5%

Tuesday, 27 January 2009

1/27 Picks

IND at ORL -9
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A

SAC at CLE -14
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE -14 *****
Underdog:	N/A

DEN -6.5 at MEM
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A

SAS at UTA
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A

CHA at LAL -11.5
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	4	75.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	#DIV/0!
*****	0	1	0.0%

Monday, 26 January 2009

Sorry 'bout the delay, folks. At least we've got 5 5-stars and 2 underdog wins tonight.

If HOU -1.5 becomes -2 or greater, no *****
If MIL -3.5 becomes -4 or greater, no *****
If NO -3 becomes -4 or greater, no *****

PHX -5 at WAS
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A

ATL at MIA -4
Winner:	Atlanta
Spread:	ATL +4 *****
Underdog:	Atlanta

HOU -1.5 at NYK
Winner:	Houston
Spread:	HOU -1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

MIN at MIL -3.5
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL -3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

NJ at OKC -1.5
Winner:	New Jersey
Spread:	NJ +1.5 *****
Underdog:	New Jersey

PHI at NO -3
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	NO -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

POR -10.5 at LAC
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	7	42.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	2	0.0%
*****	1	5	20.0%

Last Week's Results (1/19-1/25)

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	37	47	78.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	2	2	100.0%
*****	14	22	63.6%

***** unit gain, $100/unit: $520
***** ROI: 23.6%
***** p-value: 17.7% over 22 games

Sunday, 25 January 2009

1/25 Picks

I'll post all of the games now since there are some early ones. Check back later in case the lines have changed.

Update (1:45 PM ET): There have been a few half-point changes, but nothing big enough to change a pick.

DAL at BOS -9
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A

SAS at LAL -6.5
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

PHX at ATL -4
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A

SAC at TOR -9
Winner:	Toronto
Underdog:	N/A

HOU at DET -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	HOU +2 *****
Underdog:	N/A

CHA at IND -4
Winner:	Indiana
Underdog:	N/A

CHI at MIN -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHI +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

UTA at DEN -7
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A

LAC at GS -10
Winner:	Golden State
Spread:	LAC +10 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	6	7	85.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	3	66.7%

Saturday, 24 January 2009

1/24 Picks

Lots of borderline stars tonight.

If ORL -7.5 becomes -8.5 or greater, no *****
If NJ -1.5 becomes -2.5 or greater, no *****
If MIL -7 becomes -7.5 or greater, no *****

NYK at PHI -7.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A

ORL -7.5 at MIA
Winner:	Orlando
Spread:	ORL -7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

NJ -1.5 at MEM
Winner:	New Jersey
Spread:	NJ -1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

SAC at MIL -7
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL -7 *****
Underdog:	N/A

CLE at UTA -3
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE +3 *****
Underdog:	Cleveland

WAS at POR -10
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	5	6	83.3%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	1	1	100.0%
*****	2	4	50.0%