1/31 Picks

If IND -4 becomes -5 or greater, no *****.
If WAS -4.5 becomes -3.5 or less, no *****.
If HOU -7.5 becomes -8.5 or greater, no *****.

NJ at PHI -7.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A
NYK at IND -4
Winner:	Indiana
Spread:	IND -4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DAL -2 at MIA
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	MIA +2 *****
Underdog:	Miami
LAC at WAS -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	LAC +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
LAL -11 at MEM
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A
ATL at MIL -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ATL +1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
GS at HOU -7.5
Winner:	Houston
Spread:	HOU -7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at SAS -6
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NO +6 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHI at PHX -9
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at POR -9
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	7	42.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	1	6	16.7%

1/30 Picks

BOS -6.5 at DET
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A
MIA at IND -3
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	MIA +3 *****
Underdog:	Miami
MIL at TOR -7.5
Winner:	Toronto
Spread:	MIL +7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at PHI -10.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A
LAC at CLE -15.5
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at ATL -7.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A
LAL -7 at MIN
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at DEN -10
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at UTA -10
Winner:	Utah
Underdog:	N/A
GS at NO -9.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Underdog:	N/A
CHI -1 at SAC
Winner:	Chicago
Spread:	CHI -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	8	11	72.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	2	3	66.7%

Super Bowl XLII

The Super Bowl special is up on nflblackbox.blogspot.com
Check it out! More analysis will follow.

1/29 Picks

CLE at ORL -4.5
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE +4.5 *****
Underdog:	Cleveland
SAS at PHX -1.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAS +1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

Nice job, Cleveland, starting the 4th quarter with a 2-20 run.

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	0	1	0.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	1	0.0%
*****	1	2	50.0%

1/28 Picks

MIL at IND -6.5
Winner:	Indiana
Spread:	MIL +6.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ATL at NYK -1
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ATL +1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at BOS -17
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A
TOR -2 at NJ
Winner:	Toronto
Spread:	TOR -2 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at MIA -8.5
Winner:	Miami
Underdog:	N/A
DEN at NO -3.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	DEN +3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DET -1 at MIN
Winner:	Detroit
Spread:	DET -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at OKC -7
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	MEM +7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHI at HOU -5.5
Winner:	Houston
Underdog:	N/A
GS at DAL -7
Winner:	Dallas
Spread:	DAL -7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at POR -12
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A
CHI -3 at LAC
Winner:	Chicago
Spread:	CHI -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	8	10	80.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	3	8	37.5%

1/27 Picks

IND at ORL -9
Winner:	Orlando
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at CLE -14
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE -14 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DEN -6.5 at MEM
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A
SAS at UTA
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at LAL -11.5
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	4	75.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	#DIV/0!
*****	0	1	0.0%

1/26 Picks

Sorry 'bout the delay, folks. At least we've got 5 5-stars and 2 underdog wins tonight.

If HOU -1.5 becomes -2 or greater, no *****
If MIL -3.5 becomes -4 or greater, no *****
If NO -3 becomes -4 or greater, no *****

PHX -5 at WAS
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A
ATL at MIA -4
Winner:	Atlanta
Spread:	ATL +4 *****
Underdog:	Atlanta
HOU -1.5 at NYK
Winner:	Houston
Spread:	HOU -1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at MIL -3.5
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL -3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at OKC -1.5
Winner:	New Jersey
Spread:	NJ +1.5 *****
Underdog:	New Jersey
PHI at NO -3
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	NO -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A
POR -10.5 at LAC
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	7	42.9%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	2	0.0%
*****	1	5	20.0%

Last Week's Results (1/19-1/25)

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	37	47	78.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	2	2	100.0%
*****	14	22	63.6%

***** unit gain, $100/unit: $520
***** ROI: 23.6%
***** p-value: 17.7% over 22 games

1/25 Picks

I'll post all of the games now since there are some early ones. Check back later in case the lines have changed.

Update (1:45 PM ET): There have been a few half-point changes, but nothing big enough to change a pick.

DAL at BOS -9
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A
SAS at LAL -6.5
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A
PHX at ATL -4
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at TOR -9
Winner:	Toronto
Underdog:	N/A
HOU at DET -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	HOU +2 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CHA at IND -4
Winner:	Indiana
Underdog:	N/A
CHI at MIN -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	CHI +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at DEN -7
Winner:	Denver
Underdog:	N/A
LAC at GS -10
Winner:	Golden State
Spread:	LAC +10 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	6	7	85.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	3	66.7%

1/24 Picks

Lots of borderline stars tonight.

If ORL -7.5 becomes -8.5 or greater, no *****
If NJ -1.5 becomes -2.5 or greater, no *****
If MIL -7 becomes -7.5 or greater, no *****

NYK at PHI -7.5
Winner:	Philadelphia
Underdog:	N/A
ORL -7.5 at MIA
Winner:	Orlando
Spread:	ORL -7.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NJ -1.5 at MEM
Winner:	New Jersey
Spread:	NJ -1.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at MIL -7
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL -7 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CLE at UTA -3
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE +3 *****
Underdog:	Cleveland
WAS at POR -10
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	5	6	83.3%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	1	1	100.0%
*****	2	4	50.0%

1/23 Picks

If HOU -1 becomes -2 or greater, no *****
If NYK -6 becomes -4 or less, NYK -4 *****
If NO -1 becomes -3.5 or greater, no *****
If CHI -2 becomes -3 or greater, no *****
If LAC +3 becomes +2 or less, no *****

DAL at DET -3.5
Winner:	Detroit
Spread:	DAL +3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
HOU -1 at IND
Winner:	Houston
Spread:	HOU -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
PHX -4.5 at CHA
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A
MEM at NYK -6
Winner:	New York
Underdog:	N/A
MIL at ATL -5.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A
NO -1 at MIN
Winner:	New Orleans
Spread:	NO -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at SAS -11.5
Winner:	San Antonio
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at CHI -2
Winner:	Chicago
Spread:	CHI -2 *****
Underdog:	N/A
CLE -7 at GS
Winner:	Cleveland
Underdog:	N/A
OKC -3 at LAC
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	LAC +3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	9	44.4%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	2	5	40.0%

1/22 Picks

BOS at ORL -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	BOS +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at LAL -14
Winner:	LA Lakers
Spread:
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	1	1	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	1	1	100.0%

1/21 Picks

Check back around 3:30 - 4:00 ET everyday for the picks. My schedule is finally set.

Updated the power rankings.

Believe it or not, there's only 1 ***** pick today.

MEM at CHA -6.5
Winner:	Charlotte
Underdog:	N/A
BOS -6 at MIA
Winner:	Boston
Underdog:	N/A
PHX -6 at NYK
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at DET -5.5
Winner:	Detroit
Underdog:	N/A
DAL -2 at MIL
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
NJ at NO -5
Winner:	New Orleans
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at HOU -5
Winner:	Houston
Underdog:	N/A
CLE -1 at POR
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at SAC -2.5
Winner:	Sacramento
Underdog:	N/A
LAL -16 at LAC
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A
OKC at GS -6.5
Winner:	Golden State
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	7	10	70.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---
*****	1	1	100.0%

1/20 Picks

If DEN -9 becomes -10 or greater, no *****

ATL at CHI -4.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Spread:	ATL +4.5 *****
Underdog:	Atlanta
IND at SAS -7.5
Winner:	San Antonio
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at UTA -8
Winner:	Utah
Underdog:	N/A
SAC at DEN -9
Winner:	Denver
Spread:	DEN -9 ******
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	4	100.0%
*****	2	2	100.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	1	1	100.0%

1/19 Picks

If NYK -2 becomes NYK -3.5 or greater, no *****
If DEN +3 becomes DEN +1 or less, no *****
If GS -4.5 becomes GS -5.5 or greater, no *****

CHI at NYK -2
Winner:	New York
Spread:	NYK -2 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DAL at PHI -3
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
DEN at HOU -3
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	DEN +3 *****
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -5.5 at CHA
Winner:	San Antonio
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at ATL -7.5
Winner:	Atlanta
Underdog:	N/A
IND at NO -7.5
Winner:	New Orleans
Underdog:	N/A
MIN -6.5 at LAC
Winner:	Minnesota
Spread:	LAC +6.5*****
Underdog:	N/A
WAS at GS -4.5
Winner:	Golden State
Spread:	GS -4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DET -4 at MEM
Winner:	Detroit
Underdog:	N/A
PHX at BOS -8
Winner:	Boston
Spread:	BOS -8 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIL at POR -6
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A
CLE at LAL -5
Winner:	LA Lakers
Spread:	CLE +5 *****
Underdog:	N/A

Read more >> Options >>

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	10	10	100.0%
*****	4	6	66.7%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---

1/18 Picks

PHX -4 at TOR
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A
MIA at OKC
Winner:	Miami
Spread:	MIA *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	2	2	100.0%
*****	1	1	100.0%

1/17 Picks

POR -3 at CHA
Winner:	Portland
Underdog:	N/A
NO -2.5 at DET
Winner:	New Orleans
Underdog:	N/A
PHI -2.5 at NYK
Winner:	SPLIT
Underdog:	N/A
MIA at HOU -3.5
Winner:	Houston
Spread:	HOU -3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -4 at CHI
Winner:	San Antonio
Underdog:	N/A
ORL at DEN -1
Winner:	Orlando
Spread:	ORL +1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA at DAL -5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	UTA +5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
MIL -3 at LAC
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	4	6	66.7%
*****	2	4	50.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---

1/16 Picks

Having some computer troubles so I may not be able to post picks tomorrow. Check back periodically, I may be able to fix the laptop before the games.

NYK at WAS -3.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	NYK +3.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
SAS -3 at PHI
Winner:	San Antonio
Underdog:	N/A
TOR at IND -4.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	TOR +4.5 *****
Underdog:	N/A
DET -4 at OKC
Winner:	Detroit
Spread:	DET -4 *****
Underdog:	N/A
NO at CLE -3
Winner:	Cleveland
Spread:	CLE -3 *****
Underdog:	N/A
UTA -4.5 at MEM
Winner:	Utah
Underdog:	N/A
MIN at PHX -8.5
Winner:	Phoenix
Underdog:	N/A
MIL at SAC
Winner:	Milwaukee
Spread:	MIL *****
Underdog:	N/A
ATL -1 at GS
Winner:	Atlanta
Spread:	ATL -1 *****
Underdog:	N/A
ORL at LAL -4.5
Winner:	LA Lakers
Underdog:	N/A

	Correct	Games	Win%
STRAIGHT-UP	3	8	37.5%
*****	2	6	33.3%
SU UNDERDOG WIN	0	0	---