It's 5:12 PM right now. I'm working on the 5-Star ranges, those will be posted in a few minutes. Had to leave in a rush early this morning, so I posted whatever was available. Stay tuned.
Only going to post ***** picks today. Check back in the afternoon/evening for updated lines.
I think Vegas may have seen my lines, some big changes happened in the past 8 hours.
When an underdog is picked to win outright, the model is historically 66.7%. So, treat that as you may.
HOU is no longer *****, but Eric says his 95% system agrees with HOU -5.5, so I'll keep that up.
If ATL -4.5 becomes ATL -5 or greater, then no longer *****.
If NYK -2.5 becomes NYK -3.5 or greater, then IND +3.5 *****.
If DET -8 becomes DET -8.5 or greater, no longer *****.
This is a big night...
HOU -5.5 at TOR
Winner: Houston
Spread: HOU -5.5
Underdog: N/A
ATL -4.5 at NJ
Winner: Atlanta
Spread: ATL -4.5 *****
Underdog: N/A
IND at NYK -2.5
Winner: New York
Spread: NYK -2.5 *****
Underdog: N/A
DEN -7.5 at OKC
Winner: DEN
Spread: DEN -7.5 *****
Underdog: N/A
GS at MIN -2
Winner: Golden State
Spread: GS +2 *****
Underdog: Golden State
SAC at DET -8
Winner: Detroit
Spread: DET -8 *****
Underdog: N/A
NO at POR -1
Winner: Portland
Spread: POR -1 *****
Underdog: N/A
Correct Games Win%
STRAIGHT-UP 2 7 28.6%
***** 0 6 0.0%
SU UNDERDOG WIN 0 1 0.0%
For some reason, Firefox doesn't work in the hotel I'm staying in. For some reason, Internet Explorer doesn't let me post tables into blogger. That's why the formatting is screwed up. I'll make it easy for you: ***** picks were 0-6, formerly 67% accurate. Straight up picks went 1-7, formerly 78% accurate.
Friday, 2 January 2009
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5 comments:
Houston is in play according to the angle.
vegas isnt setting the lines, bettors at offshore books are. if you arent using lines from either Pinnacle, CRIS(Bookmaker), or Olympic you dont have accurate lines. everyone is copying them.
what is your line source when posting early?
i should mention that sac. also will qualify if they catch enough to be a box pick.
DEN now 2-6 as 5-star, most times of any team and worst record by far.
ATL now 5-2, second most times a 5-star.
Regression to the mean?
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