11/13 Picks

I hate nights with 2 games. When there are two games, you need to hit both to make money. Win 0 games, you lose 100% of your investment (at 57% accuracy; 18% probability). Win 1 game, you lose 4.5% of your investment (I use an ATS payout of 1.91, decimal odds are easier to use in calculations; that's 49% probability ). Win 2 games, you make 91% (32% probability).

The probability that you lose money on a 2 game night at 57% accuracy: 18% + 49% = about 68%.

NJ at ORL -15.5
Winner:	ORL
Spread:	NJ +15.5
SU Underdog:	---
UTA at PHI -2
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	PHI -2
SU Underdog:	---
GS at NYK -3
Winner:	NYK
Spread:	NYK -3
SU Underdog:	---
ATL at BOS -9
Winner:	BOS
Spread:	BOS -9
SU Underdog:	---
DAL -11 at MIN
Winner:	DAL
Spread:	MIN +11
SU Underdog:	---
POR -3 at NO
Winner:	POR
Spread:	POR -3 *****
SU Underdog:	---
HOU -5 at SAC
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	SAC +5
SU Underdog:	---
LAL at DEN -4
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	DEN -4
SU Underdog:	---
TOR -2.5 at LAC
Winner:	TOR
Spread:	LAC +2.5
SU Underdog:	---

I hope some people out there found NJ +16.5 instead of NJ +15.5. That's some BS right there.

13-Nov	Correct	Games	Win%
Straight up	4	6	66.7%
SU Underdog	0	0	---
***** ATS	1	1	100.0%
Non-***** ATS	2	8	25.0%
Overall ATS	3	9	33.3%