Winner: SPLIT
Spread: POR +4.5
Underdog: N/A
CHI at PHI -6
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: CHI +6
Underdog: N/A
HOU at DEN -4
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: DEN -4
Underdog: N/A
NJ at PHX -9
Winner: PHX
Spread: PHX -9
Underdog: N/A
TOR at LAL -12
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL -12
Underdog: N/A
| Correct | Games | Win% | |
| WINS | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| SPREAD | 4 | 5 | 80.0% |
| UNDERDOG WIN | 0 | 0 | --- |
2 comments:
Great start to the season for NBA Black Box, congrats!
It's interesting that the win % for underdogs and for wins as a whole are pretty comparable.
If it turns out that average win percentages aren't correlated to the odds, then that opens the door to winning against the moneyline.
Any idea whether this is the case?
Hey singletrack, good to hear from you.
I started tracking Underdog Win % in the hopes that NBA Black Box would correctly pick the underdogs most of the time. So far, it looks like that's happening, and it's pretty exciting.
Unfortunately, over the past week, Vegas hasn't left very many underdogs open. In any case, when there is an opportunity, it seems like it would be a good idea to bet against the moneyline or add them in a parlay.
Thanks for coming to NBA Black Box. Be sure to spread the word, let's give Vegas a run for their money.
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