Playoffs, Round 1, Game 5, Picks

*** I hate to say this, but use these picks with caution. Somehow Vegas figured out the numbers this week, it's never been this close. I'm going to post the difference between my calculated spread and Vegas' spread so if Vegas shifts the line or if your sportsbook is off by .5 or 1 point, you can adjust your strategy accordingly.

TOR at ORL -7.5
Winner: ORL
My Spread: ORL wins by 7.014 points, if Vegas moves the line down to -7, bet ORL -7
Spread: TOR +7.5

PHI at DET -9
Winner: DET
My Spread: DET wins by 11.57
Spread: DET -9

DAL at NO -6
Winner: NO
My Spread: NO by 5.687
Spread: DAL +6

UTA at HOU -2
Winner: HOU
My Spread: HOU by 3.001
Spread: HOU -2

PHX at SAS -5.5
Winner: SAS
My Spread: SAS by 4.648
Spread: PHX +5.5

WAS at CLE -5.5
Winner: CLE
My Spread: CLE by 3.797
Spread: WAS +5

ATL at BOS -14
Winner: BOS
My Spread: BOS by 17.88
Spread BOS -14

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 4, Results

WINS
Correct	Games	Win%
4	5	80.0%
SPREAD
Correct	Games	Win%
6	8	75.0%

ORL at TOR -3
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL +3

HOU at UTA -8.5
Winner: UTA
Spread: HOU +8.5

CLE at WAS -4
Winner: SPLIT
Sprea: CLE +4

SAS at PHX -3.5
Winner: PHX
Spread: PHX -3.5

DET at PHI +5.5
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -5.5

NO at DAL -5.5
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: NO +5.5

BOS -9.5 at ATL
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -9.5

LAL -5 at DEN
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: DEN +5

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 3, Results

WINS
Correct	Games	Win%
1	6	16.7%
SPREAD
Correct	Games	Win%
3	8	37.5%

ORL at TOR -4
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL +4

CLE at WAS -4.5
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: CLE +4.5

HOU at UTA -9
Winner: UTA
Spread: HOU +9

NO at DAL -5
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: NO +5

SAS at PHX -6.5
Winner: PHX
Spread: SAS +6.5

DET -5.5 at PHI
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -5.5

LAL at DEN -1.5
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL +1.5

BOS -8 at ATL
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -8

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 4, Picks

ORL at TOR -3
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL +3

HOU at UTA -8.5
Winner: UTA
Spread: HOU +8.5

CLE at WAS -4
Winner: SPLIT
Sprea: CLE +4

SAS at PHX -3.5
Winner: PHX
Spread: PHX -3.5

DET at PHI +5.5
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -5.5

NO at DAL -5.5
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: NO +5.5

BOS -9.5 at ATL
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -9.5

LAL -5 at DEN
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: DEN +5

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 3, Picks

Update (4/25 10:40 am): Added Detroit game
Update(4/26 11:05 am): Added LA and Boston

ORL at TOR -4
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL +4

CLE at WAS -4.5
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: CLE +4.5

HOU at UTA -9
Winner: UTA
Spread: HOU +9

NO at DAL -5
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: NO +5

SAS at PHX -6.5
Winner: PHX
Spread: SAS +6.5

DET -5.5 at PHI
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -5.5

LAL at DEN -1.5
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL +1.5

BOS -8 at ATL
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -8

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 2, Results

WINS
Correct	Games	Win%
7	8	87.5%
SPREAD
Correct	Games	Win%
6	8	75.0%

WAS at CLE -2
Winner: CLE
Spread: CLE -2

UTA at HOU -1
Winner: HOU
Spread: HOU -1

DAL at NO -3.5
Winner: NO
Spread: NO -3.5

TOR at ORL -5.5
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL -5.5

PHX at SAS -2.5
Winner: SAS
Spread: SAS -2.5

PHI at DET -10
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -10

ATL at BOS -15
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -15

DEN at LAL -7.5
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL -7.5

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 2, Picks

Here's what Vegas has posted as of 7:30 am, Monday. When the other 3 games go up I'll add them to the list.

UPDATE: Added the final 3 games.

WAS at CLE -2
Winner: CLE
Spread: CLE -2

UTA at HOU -1
Winner: HOU
Spread: HOU -1

DAL at NO -3.5
Winner: NO
Spread: NO -3.5

TOR at ORL -5.5
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL -5.5

PHX at SAS -2.5
Winner: SAS
Spread: SAS -2.5

PHI at DET -10
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -10

ATL at BOS -15
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -15

DEN at LAL -7.5
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL -7.5

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 1, Results

WINS
Correct	Games	Win%
6	8	75.0%
SPREAD
Correct	Games	Win%
5	8	62.5%

WAS at CLE -2.5
Winner: CLE
Spread: CLE -2.5

PHX at SAS -4
Winner: SAS
Spread: SAS -4

DAL at NO -4.5
Winner: NO
Spread: NO -4.5

UTA at HOU -1
Winner: HOU
Spread: HOU -1

TOR at ORL -6.5
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL -6.5

DEN at LAL -8
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL -8

PHI at DET -9.5
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -9.5

ATL at BOS -15
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -15

Series-by-Series Playoff Predictions

Here are my predictions for the entire playoffs. I'm going to throw myself way out on a limb by predicting the winners of 15 7-game series, but I'm fairly confident. I'll even include the number of games each series will last.

Round 1:
East
BOS over ATL, 4 games
CLE over WAS, 5
ORL over TOR, 4
DET over PHI, 4
West
LAL over DEN, 4
HOU over UTA, 7
SAS over PHX, 7
NO over DAL, 5

Round 2:
East
BOS over CLE, 4
DET over ORL, 5
West
LAL over HOU, 5
NO over SAS, 7

Semi-finals:
East
BOS over DET, 4
West
LAL over NO, 5

FINALS:
BOS over LAL, 4 games


I see Boston sweeping their way through the playoffs, winning it all. Too bad for my Spurs...

I'll continue to pick every game, so be sure to check out the predictions.

Go Spurs Go!

Playoffs, Round 1, Game 1, Picks

WAS at CLE -2.5
Winner: CLE
Spread: CLE -2.5

PHX at SAS -4
Winner: SAS
Spread: SAS -4

DAL at NO -4.5
Winner: NO
Spread: NO -4.5

UTA at HOU -1
Winner: HOU
Spread: HOU -1

TOR at ORL -6.5
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL -6.5

DEN at LAL -8
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL -8

PHI at DET -9.5
Winner: DET
Spread: DET -9.5

ATL at BOS -15
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS-15

Playoffs have arrived

The playoffs are finally here. Who's going to win the West? Who's going to win the East? Who's going to win it all? Hopefully my Spurs. Stay tuned, the numbers are running and the predictions coming soon.

I'll be posting the picks for each game as usual. As a bonus, I'll simulate the full post-season to see how close we can get to the real thing.