Tuesday 2 December 2008

12/3 Picks

I never realized how drastically Vegas' lines changed hour-by-hour until yesterday. When I ran the numbers, DAL was a 5.5 point favorite. A few hours later, it was up to 11. If the current line is vastly different from the line I posted, use your judgment as to whether or not you should act on it.

I'm also going to put ***** next to the higher probability picks. Yesterday, I was 4-4 overall, but the higher probability picks were 3-1. It can't hurt to give out a little more info. Leave it up to you guys to decide what sort of risk you're willing to take. For an idea of the difference in accuracy, the regular picks hit 60.4% over 212 games over the past month. ***** picks went 66% over 94 games. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

MEM at ATL -9
Winner: ATL
Spread: ATL -9
Underdog: N/A

POR -6.5 at WAS
Winner: POR
Spread: POR -6.5
Underdog: N/A

LAL -7 at PHI
Winner: LAL
Spread: LAL -7
Underdog: N/A

MIN at ORL -9
Winner: ORL
Spread: ORL -9
Underdog: N/A

NYK at CLE -14.5
Winner: CLE
Spread: CLE -14.5
Underdog: N/A

OKC at CHA -8.5
Winner: CHA
Spread: CHA -8.5
Underdog: N/A

IND at BOS -12.5
Winner: BOS
Spread: BOS -12.5
Underdog: N/A

CHI at MIL -3
Winner: SPLIT
Spread: CHI +3 *****
Underdog: N/A

PHX at NO -5
Winner: PHX
Spread: PHX +5 *****
Underdog: PHX

LAC at HOU -3
Winner: HOU
Spread: HOU -3 *****
Underdog: N/A

MIA at UTA -3
Winner: UTA
Spread: UTA -3 *****
Underdog: N/A


Correct Games Win%
WINS 8 10 80.0%
SPREAD 6 11 54.5%
***** 1 4 25.0%
UNDERDOG WIN 0 1 0.0%





















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