6 out of 10 ATS lines actually improved from 9 am to 12:30 pm and actually switched 2 games to *****. 1 got worse, 3 stayed the same.
The jury is still open on early/late posting so please leave a comment somewhere or email me w/ your opinion. Thanks!
Also, have to point out that in my note yesterday, I called HOU by 1.2 pts over GS, total of 222.8; HOU won by 2 pts after a shooting foul with 2 sec's to go for a total of 220. The actual total of the DEN game was 210, the model predicted 209.1 ... nice.
Note:
- I have TOR losing by 3.4 pts, the line is 3.5. Total of 216.3, line is 215.5
- CLE total of 188.6. Line is 190
- MEM total of 206.5. Line is 206
- BOS win by 4.5, line is 4. Total of 194.5, line is 192.5
That should cover any line changes.
| TOR at WAS -3.5, 215.5 | |
| Winner: | SPLIT |
| Spread: | TOR +3.5 |
| O/U: | OVER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| NYK at ATL -10.5, 216.5 | |
| Winner: | ATL ***** |
| Spread: | ATL -10.5 ***** |
| O/U: | OVER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| CHI at CLE -12.5, 190 | |
| Winner: | CLE ***** |
| Spread: | CHI +12.5 ***** |
| O/U: | UNDER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| MIL at DET -3.5, 186.5 | |
| Winner: | SPLIT |
| Spread: | MIL +3.5 |
| O/U: | OVER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| DAL -5.5 at MEM, 206 | |
| Winner: | DAL ***** |
| Spread: | DAL -5.5 |
| O/U: | OVER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| CHA -3.5 at NJ, 181 | |
| Winner: | SPLIT |
| Spread: | CHA -3.5 |
| O/U: | UNDER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| MIN at NO -9, 201 | |
| Winner: | NO ***** |
| Spread: | NO -9 |
| O/U: | UNDER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| BOS -4 at OKC, 192.5 | |
| Winner: | SPLIT |
| Spread: | BOS -4 |
| O/U: | OVER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| IND at UTA -8, 209.5 | |
| Winner: | UTA ***** |
| Spread: | UTA -8 ***** |
| O/U: | UNDER ***** |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| MIA at LAL -11.5, 199 | |
| Winner: | LAL ***** |
| Spread: | MIA +11.5 |
| O/U: | UNDER |
| SU Underdog: | --- |
| 4-Dec | Correct | Games | Win% |
| SU - non ***** | 0 | 0 | --- |
| ATS - non ***** | 3 | 6 | 50.0% |
| O/U - non ***** | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| SU ***** | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| ATS ***** | 1 | 3 | 33.3% |
| O/U ***** | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| SU Overall | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| ATS Overall | 4 | 9 | 44.4% |
| O/U Overall | 6 | 10 | 60.0% |
5 comments:
GL!! Im with you on MIA and UTA, Do you ever plan to post the scores for your simulated outcomes like you do for FB?
I'd imagine that'd take an extra 5 or 10 minutes per post in reply to the above.
I need to update the model's output page in excel anyway... I suppose I could add scores to the posting template when I do that.
I'll say definitely maybe.
if the line on toronto had fallen to toronto +3 does washington become the play because you had washington by 3.4?
You got it
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