Sunday 6 December 2009

12/6 Picks

I've been thinking about posting scores. If people are worried about early posts bending the lines, I can't imagine what exact scores will do. I doubt that will be a problem at this point, but the logic is there.

Also, it's only been a couple days so I'd hate to get way too excited way too soon. The model is 19-12 (61.3%) ATS, over 31 games. Combining ATS & O/U is 34-29 (54%) over 63 games. Give it a couple weeks at this performance, then we'll be in business.



NJ at NYK -4.5, 204.5
NJ
96.1
NYK
103.1
Winner:
NYK *****
Spread:
NYK -4.5 *****
O/U:
UNDER *****
CLE -6.5 at MIL, 196
CLE
100.3
MIL
99.0
Winner:
SPLIT
Spread:
MIL +6.5
O/U:
OVER
WAS at DET -2.5, 189.5
WAS
98.3
DET
94.9
Winner:
DET
Spread:
WAS +2.5
O/U:
OVER
MIA -1.5 at SAC, 204.5
MIA
99.0
SAC
105.6
Winner:
SPLIT
Spread:
SAC +1.5
O/U:
OVER
PHX at LAL -9.5, 221.5
PHX
114.1
LAL
110.0
Winner:
LAL
Spread:
PHX +9.5
O/U:
OVER



6-Dec Correct Games Win%
SU - non ***** 2 2 100.0%
ATS - non ***** 0 4 0.0%
O/U - non ***** 2 4 50.0%




SU ***** 1 1 100.0%
ATS ***** 1 1 100.0%
O/U ***** 1 1 100.0%




SU Overall 3 3 100.0%
ATS Overall 1 5 20.0%
O/U Overall 3 5 60.0%

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thank you for including the predicted scores for both teams.

If I was rude when I requested in the previous post please forgive. We do appreciate the work you put in!

"Timber" said...

I also requested scores, It isn't so much to help with early lines, I like having a visual of how much your simulation beat the spread either way, for instance If the spread is by +10, and your sim has them beating the spread + 1 point, that might be an impact on whether or not I would play that game. Like the other poster ,love the what oyu do and thanks for the work you put into it!

The Sim Capper said...

Fair enough. I'll post them for now.

That Knicks game was pretty sweet :D