Wednesday 9 December 2009

12/9 Picks

Interesting night last night, a couple really close games against lines and 7 out of 8 underdogs covered their spreads.

I get the sense that successful spread nights and successful o/u nights alternate...


CHI at ATL -10, 196
CHI
90.6
ATL
107.7
Winner:
ATL *****
Spread:
ATL -10 *****
O/U:
OVER *****
POR -4.5 at IND, 192
POR
101.0
IND
91.1
Winner:
SPLIT
Spread:
POR -4.5
O/U:
OVER
DET at PHI -3.5, 191.5
DET
96.1
PHI
89.9
Winner:
DET *****
Spread:
DET +3.5 *****
O/U:
UNDER
GS -1.5 at NJ, 219

GS
109.7
NJ
102.0
Winner:
SPLIT
Spread:
GS -1.5
O/U:
UNDER *****
TOR at MIL -3.5, 205
TOR
105.4
MIL
110.2
Winner:
SPLIT
Spread:
MIL -3.5
O/U:
OVER
NO -3 at MIN, 195.5
NO
102.9
MIN
95.4
Winner:
NO *****
Spread:
NO -3
O/U:
OVER
CLE -2 at HOU, 194
CLE
101.6
HOU
98.2
Winner:
SPLIT
Spread:
CLE -2
O/U:
OVER *****
SAC at SAS -13, 203
SAC
105.9
SAS
108.4
Winner:
SAS *****
Spread:
SAC +13 *****
O/U:
OVER
UTA at LAL -10.5, 206
UTA
102.2
LAL
103.9
Winner:
LAL *****
Spread:
UTA +10.5
O/U:
OVER



COMBINED      
9-Dec Correct Games Win%
SU - non ***** 0 0 ---
ATS - non ***** 3 6 50.0%
O/U - non ***** 4 6 66.7%



 
SU ***** 5 5 100.0%
ATS ***** 3 3 100.0%
O/U ***** 2 3 66.7%



 
SU Overall 5 5 100.0%
ATS Overall 6 9 66.7%
O/U Overall 6 9 66.7%

4 comments:

"Timber" said...

Do your simulations take injuries into consideration? For instance Granger being out for Indiana? or is it more of a whole team approach?

Like it either way Im on Portland tonight as well!

The Sim Capper said...

No injuries are taken account. These picks should be treated as suggestions - if you think an injury is going to have a big effect, ignore that game. If you like Portland, go for it.

"Timber" said...

Fair enough, and I did go with Portland and won!

Good to know though! Great job last night BTW, I was on the Cle/Hou Over :( , I utilize your suggestions quite bit when making my choices on these games, so typically if I am leaning one way and you are showing the opposite that game becomes a no play, so you could say you have saved me quite a few times from losses :)

The Sim Capper said...

Awesome. CLE really blew it last night.