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12/2 First picks of the new model (inluding new power rankings)
MIL at WAS -3, 196.5
|
Winner:
| SPLIT
|
Spread:
| MIL +3
|
O/U:
| OVER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
NYK at ORL -13, 208.5
|
Winner:
| ORL *****
|
Spread:
| NYK +13
|
O/U:
| OVER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
PHX at CLE -7.5, 213
|
Winner:
| SPLIT
|
Spread:
| PHX +7.5 *****
|
O/U:
| OVER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
TOR at ATL -9, 211.5
|
Winner:
| ATL *****
|
Spread:
| ATL -9 *****
|
O/U:
| OVER *****
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
DAL -7.5 at NJ, 189.5
|
Winner:
| DAL *****
|
Spread:
| DAL -7.5
|
O/U:
| OVER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
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DET at CHI -8, 183
|
|
Winner:
| SPLIT
|
Spread:
| DET +8 *****
|
O/U:
| UNDER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
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MEM -3 at MIN, 202
|
Winner:
| MEM *****
|
Spread:
| MEM -3
|
O/U:
| UNDER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
PHI at OKC -6, 198
|
|
Winner:
| OKC *****
|
Spread:
| OKC -6 *****
|
O/U:
| UNDER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
IND at SAC -2, 216
|
|
Winner:
| SAC *****
|
Spread:
| SAC -2 *****
|
O/U:
| UNDER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
|
|
HOU -2.5 at LAC, 193
|
|
Winner:
| SPLIT
|
Spread:
| HOU -2.5
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O/U:
| OVER
|
SU Underdog:
| ---
|
| 2-Dec | Correct | Games | Win% |
| SU - non ***** | 0 | 0 | --- |
| ATS - non ***** | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| O/U - non ***** | 6 | 9 | 66.7% |
|
|
|
|
| SU ***** | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| ATS ***** | 4 | 5 | 80.0% |
| O/U ***** | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
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|
|
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| SU Overall | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| ATS Overall | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
| O/U Overall | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
8 comments:
Looks like you have put a lot of time into this model backtesting without using end of season stats. May it be as successful this year as it was last. =)
GOOD Luck im on the PHX/Cavs over as well!
is detroit still a play at +7? what about oklahoma city at -6.5?
thanks.
DET and OKC may have changed since I put them up at around noon. I'll address the timings of the picks soon, re: changing lines.
Good luck to everyone!
(it's 5:30; according to www.sportsinteraction.com, DET +7 and OKC -6.5)
Lines are bound to move and become more efficient by game time. When you have a model that can nearly pick 60% on 50/50 propositions at the time of posting, lines will correct themselves somewhat.
Tough beans to people who aren't able to get the same lines because they got to his post late. The earlier he posts, the more value there will be in the lines for everyone who follows the blog (and himself assuming he makes his wagers right before he posts).
bought detroit to +8 and got the win. thanks SIM.
Wow Amazing!!
the one Game I was on I didn't win!
Keep it up!!
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