12/8 Picks

O/U is struggling a bit; ATS ***** are doing well, as are all SU picks.

The SAS-UTA game did what was expected last night: the straight up pick beat the models pick (implied by points). A SU pick is when the original 2 models agree on a winner. If the new model agrees with that, it becomes *****.

Check out nflblackbox.blogspot.com lately? NFLSim is on a sick 3 week streak.

It's probably a good idea to hold off on placing bets for now... it might be better to sit back and watch for a few days/weeks to see what happens. But hell, if you think one looks good, I won't stop ya.

DEN -3 at CHA, 202.5
DEN	109.1
CHA	97.9
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	DEN -3
O/U:	OVER
MIN at TOR -8, 212
MIN	98.5
TOR	109.5
Winner:	TOR *****
Spread:	TOR -8
O/U:	UNDER *****
MIL at BOS -12.5, 191
MIL	96.9
BOS	101.2
Winner:	BOS *****
Spread:	MIL +12.5
O/U:	OVER *****
NJ at CHI -7, 192
NJ	89.3
CHI	90.3
Winner:	CHI *****
Spread:	NJ +7
O/U:	UNDER *****
CLE -7 at MEM, 193
CLE	104.5
MEM	93.7
Winner:	CLE *****
Spread:	CLE -7
O/U:	OVER
SAC at NO -7.5, 211.5
SAC	109.4
NO	105.0
Winner:	NO
Spread:	SAC +7.5 *****
O/U:	OVER
PHX at DAL -3.5, 214.5
PHX	113.8
DAL	107.9
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	PHX +3.5
O/U:	OVER
ORL -7.5 at LAC, 193
ORL	104.3
LAC	91.5
Winner:	SPLIT
Spread:	ORL -7.5
O/U:	OVER

SAC +7.5 was supposed to be *****. I added the starts after the fact for record keeping purposes.

8-Dec	Correct	Games	Win%
SU - non *****	1	1	100.0%
ATS - non *****	4	7	57.1%
O/U - non *****	1	5	20.0%
SU *****	2	4	50.0%
ATS *****	1	1	100.0%
O/U *****	1	3	33.3%
SU Overall	3	5	60.0%
ATS Overall	5	8	62.5%
O/U Overall	2	8	25.0%